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Midterms: Where are we now? Nov 08

With Sky News on the TV and 18 Doughty Street and CNN live on my laptop (18DS seemed to have the greatest concentration of Republican cheerleaders in the UK; poor Tim Montgomerie’s face when Rick Santorum lost), plus browser windows for MyDD, Daily Kos, CNN and CBS, I had the election results on a saline drip last night.

But dripping in they still are, with some races sufficiently close for recounts.

In addition to the wins I mentioned earlier, you can add Colorado, taking the Democrats’ gains to six: Arkansas, Colorado, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York and Ohio.

House of Representatives
CNN have called 27 gains from the Republicans, although some of these are having recounts. If you’ll excuse the shorthand (I’ll try to get these abbreviations right…), these pickups are: AZ-05, AZ-08, CA-11, CO-07, CT-05, FL-16, FL-22, IN-02, IN-08, IN-09, IA-01, IA-02, KA-02, KY-03, MN-01, NH-01, NH-02, NY-19, NY-20, NY-24, NC-11, OH-18, PA-04, PA-07, PA-10, TX-22, WI-08.

The Dems failed to gain the Florida 13th by less than 400 votes. The Connecticut 2nd is within 250 votes with 97% of precincts in and the Pennsylvania 8th looks like a very close Democrat pickup. The Georgia 8th and 12th look like close Democrat holds, but both face potential recounts. The Washington 8th is another one to keep an eye on.

Missouri was called as a Democrat gain, which leaves it down to Montana and Virginia. The counting is due to continue today: Democrat Jon Tester is less than 2,000 ahead in Montana and Jim Webb is leading by around 8,000 in Virginia.

Having picked up four seats already (Ohio, Missouri, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island), and assuming Lieberman plays ball, the Dems need both seats to reach the magic 51-seat majority in the Senate; win one and the Senate will be 50-50, with Vice President Dick Cheney holding the casting vote. I’m reminded of an exchange from The West Wing.
Josh: “We could try the Bob Russell thing.”
Santos: “Get a bad haircut and break ties in the Senate?”

State legislatures
Via MyDD comes news from the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee:

Democrats won new majorities in the Indiana House, New Hampshire House and Senate, Iowa House and Senate, the Minnesota House, the Michigan House, the Wisconsin Senate, and the Oregon House.
Democrats have gained ground in the Tennessee Senate, Ohio House, Pennsylvania House, and the North Dakota House and Senate.
Pre-election Democrats controlled 47 chambers to the Republicans 49, with 2 chambers tied. So far, Democrats have 51 chambers to the Republicans 31, with the remainder to be called.

The DLCC website now shows 52 Democratic chambers to 34 Republican.

4 Responses

  1. If you’d been following my blog, you’d now know that the Democrats have definitely gained Montana’s Senate seat – their lead is 1,586 and the electorate of the only county still to be counted is 1,432. Razor-thin majorities R Us!

  2. 2

    Thanks, Richard. Didn’t realise you were updating that post.

  3. 3

    There was an interesting point on Billmon about the elections – the Democrats didn’t lose a single House seat, Senate race or Governorship that they were defending, which would be another first for them.

  4. 4

    Indeed. Even in the rout of 1994, the Democrats picked up a few seats. The best GOP hopes are in Georgia, but the Democrats look like holding both.